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Lowball offer on a short sale: how lender approval really works

Updated · by the LowBaller team

A lowball offer on a short sale is a below-market offer on a house worth less than its mortgage, so the lender must approve taking less than it is owed. The seller can sign your contract, but the lender decides the price, usually by comparing your net proceeds to a broker price opinion and to the cost of foreclosing. That changes how you price. You are not persuading a tired owner. You are giving a loss mitigation department a file that makes your number the least bad option.

Below: the lender's math with a worked example, a timeline by stage, what to verify, and the honest limits of lowballing a short sale. Rules vary by lender, loan type and state, so confirm specifics with the seller's agent, the lender and a local real estate attorney.

How does a short sale work?

A short sale happens when an owner needs to sell, owes more than the house will bring, and the lender agrees to release its lien for less than the full payoff. The owner usually has to show a hardship, such as job loss, divorce, medical bills or a forced move, and submit financial documents.

You sign a purchase contract with the seller that is subject to lender approval. The seller's agent then sends the lender a package: your contract, the seller's hardship letter and financials, and an estimated settlement statement showing what the lender would net. The lender orders a valuation, usually a broker price opinion (BPO), and a negotiator reviews the file.

The lender can approve, reject or counter. If there is a second mortgage, a home equity line or a mortgage insurer, each may also need to sign off. When everyone agrees, the lender issues an approval letter with a price, conditions and an expiration date. Then you close.

General roles in a short sale. Requirements vary by lender, loan type and state.
PartyWhat they decideWhat moves them
SellerWhether to sign your contractAvoiding foreclosure, a possible deficiency waiver
Seller's agentWhich offers to submit and how to package themGetting a file approved, not just signed
First lienholderThe price, the conditions, any deficiency termsNet proceeds versus the BPO and foreclosure cost
Second lienholderWhether to release for a small paymentGetting something instead of nothing
Mortgage insurer or loan investorWhether the loss fits their guidelinesPolicy rules and the size of the loss
General roles in a short sale. Requirements vary by lender, loan type and state.

Why can't the seller's agent just accept my offer?

Because acceptance is not theirs to give. The seller can sign, and the agent can tell you the seller is happy, but neither can promise the lender will release its lien. Until the approval letter arrives, a signed short sale contract is a request, not a deal.

That has two consequences for a lowball. First, the seller has little reason to fight your number, because the money goes to the lender, not to them. Second, the person you must convince never meets you. The negotiator sees a file, so your offer has to win on paper.

Good short sale agents push back on a number they expect the lender to reject, because a rejection resets their clock. Listen to them, and ask whether the lender has ordered a valuation, countered other offers, or set an auction date.

Help the valuation see the real condition

If the house needs work, offer to meet the BPO agent at the property with your contractor bids. Accurate condition evidence is the legitimate way to get a valuation that reflects the house as it actually is.

Worked example: the lender's math on a low short sale offer

Example: a house worth about $300,000 in good condition. It needs $30,000 of work. The first mortgage payoff is $330,000 and a home equity line has $25,000 on it. The owner is behind on payments and a notice of default has been filed.

You offer $255,000 cash, as-is, closing 30 days after approval. The lender compares two paths: approve your short sale, or foreclose, take the house back and resell it as REO.

In this example, your below-market offer nets the lender about $4,700 more than foreclosing, and it ends the file months sooner. That is your argument. At $225,000, the short sale would net the lender about $200,250 and lose to foreclosure, so the negotiator would likely counter or reject. The floor of a short sale offer is the lender's foreclosure alternative, not the seller's feelings.

Example: lender's net at each offer price

Offer $270,000$242,100
Offer $255,000$228,150
Foreclose and resell$223,450
Offer $240,000$214,200
Offer $225,000$200,250
Worked example from the table below: short sale net at each offer versus the $223,450 foreclosure path. Illustrative.
Worked example. All figures are illustrative; real foreclosure costs and timelines vary widely by state and lender.
LineShort sale at $255,000Foreclose and resell
Sale price$255,000$265,000 (as-is REO sale)
Commission and closing costs (7%)-$17,850-$18,550
Payment to release the second lien-$6,000$0 (generally wiped out by foreclosure)
Foreclosure legal costs$0-$8,000
Holding costs (taxes, insurance, upkeep)-$3,000 (2 months)-$15,000 (10 months)
Lender's net$228,150$223,450
Worked example. All figures are illustrative; real foreclosure costs and timelines vary widely by state and lender.

How long does a short sale take?

Add up the stages and a short sale commonly runs a few months from signed contract to closing, sometimes much longer when there are two lenders or the file changes negotiators. Federal mortgage servicing rules restrict some foreclosure steps while a complete loss mitigation application is under review, but the protection depends on timing, so ask the seller's agent whether the lender has postponed any auction date. Postponements are not automatic.

Illustrative short sale timeline. Real timelines vary widely by lender, loan type, number of liens and state; some files move faster and many take longer.
StageWhat happensTypical range (illustrative)
Offer and signed contractSeller signs, subject to lender approvalA few days
Package submittedContract, hardship letter, financials, estimated settlement statement1 to 2 weeks
Lender review and BPOFile assigned to a negotiator, valuation ordered2 to 6 weeks
Negotiation and countersLender counters; second lien and insurer weigh in2 to 8 weeks
Approval letterPrice, conditions and an expiration dateOften valid for a few weeks
ClosingMust close before the approval expires2 to 4 weeks
Illustrative short sale timeline. Real timelines vary widely by lender, loan type, number of liens and state; some files move faster and many take longer.

How much should you offer on a short sale?

Work backward from the lender's alternative. Estimate what the house would sell for as-is after foreclosure, subtract the lender's foreclosure costs and the months of carrying, and you have roughly the net your offer has to beat. That usually lands your offer below full market value but well above a hard-distress cash lowball.

Then check it against your own exit. If you are flipping, run the maximum allowable offer formula: after-repair value times 70 percent minus repairs. If your ceiling is below the lender's foreclosure alternative, the short sale probably will not approve at your number. Move on early rather than wait months for a no.

The honest truth: short sales are rarely where the deepest discounts are. The lender has a valuation and patience. Deep lowballs work on owners who have equity and a deadline, which is a different property. See what to offer on a distressed property for that math.

What to verify before you offer on a short sale

A short sale contract can die at any stage, so spend your due diligence money in the right order: title first, inspection after the lender shows real interest.

Short sale due diligence. Requirements vary by lender and state; confirm with the title company and a local real estate attorney.
ItemWhy it mattersWhere to check
All liens on titleEvery lienholder must release or be paidTitle search, county recorder
Foreclosure status and sale dateAn auction can still happen during reviewNotice of default or lis pendens, trustee or court records
Second mortgage or HELOCSecond liens often demand a payment to releaseTitle search, seller's statements
HOA and tax balancesUsually paid at closing and reduce the lender's netHOA payoff letter, county treasurer
Approval letter termsPrice, closing deadline, who pays whatRead it before you schedule closing
Arm's-length requirementsLenders typically ban hidden relationships and side paymentsThe lender's short sale affidavit
Short sale due diligence. Requirements vary by lender and state; confirm with the title company and a local real estate attorney.

Never pay the seller off the books

Short sale lenders typically require an arm's-length affidavit. Paying the seller, or anyone else, outside the settlement statement can be mortgage fraud. Every dollar goes on the closing statement or it does not go.

How to make a short sale offer, step by step

  1. 1

    Confirm it is really a short sale

    Compare the recorded loans with the estimated value. If the owner has equity, make a normal cash offer instead.

  2. 2

    Ask the seller's agent four questions

    Is the file submitted, who are the lienholders, is there an auction date, and has the lender countered before?

  3. 3

    Price against the lender's alternative

    Estimate the lender's net from foreclosing and reselling, and make sure your offer nets more.

  4. 4

    Submit a clean, documented offer

    Include proof of funds, a short closing period after approval, contractor bids and no unusual contingencies.

  5. 5

    Help the valuation reflect condition

    If the house needs work, give the BPO agent honest bids and photos of real defects.

  6. 6

    Stay patient, with a limit

    Follow up through the seller's agent every week or two, and decide in advance how long you will wait.

  7. 7

    Close inside the approval window

    Approval letters expire. Have funds and title work ready before the letter arrives.

Where do short sale opportunities come from?

Most short sales start as pre-foreclosures. A notice of default or lis pendens is filed, and an owner with little or no equity looks for an exit that does less damage than a foreclosure. Foreclosure timelines differ a lot between judicial and non-judicial states, so check your state's foreclosure laws before you plan around a date.

LowBaller ranks pre-foreclosure properties by pressure times equity, and its suggested offers are capped so they still clear the owner's estimated mortgage and closing costs. An owner who owes more than the house is worth cannot accept a normal cash lowball, which is exactly when the lender has to get involved. To see whether a specific address has a filing, run it through LowBaller's free distress check.

Frequently asked questions

Can you lowball a short sale?

Yes, but the lender decides, not the seller. A low offer can be approved if its net proceeds beat what the lender would recover by foreclosing and reselling, especially when the house needs documented repairs. Offers far below the lender's valuation usually get countered or rejected, and they can add weeks to an already slow process.

How much should I offer on a short sale house?

Offer enough that the lender nets more than its foreclosure alternative: the likely as-is resale price minus foreclosure, holding and sale costs. That is usually below full market value but above a hard-distress cash price. Then confirm the number still works for your own exit, such as the 70 percent rule for a flip.

How long does a short sale take to close?

A short sale commonly takes a few months from signed contract to closing, and longer when there is a second lien, a mortgage insurer, or a change of negotiator. Timing varies widely by lender and state. Once approved, the approval letter usually has an expiration date, so have your funds and title work ready to close quickly.

Who approves a short sale offer?

The lender holding the first mortgage approves the price, after reviewing a valuation such as a broker price opinion. Any second lienholder, home equity lender or mortgage insurer may also need to agree. The seller signs the contract, but neither the seller nor their agent can make the sale final without lender approval in writing.

What is a BPO in a short sale?

A broker price opinion is a valuation prepared by a local real estate agent for the lender, based on the home's condition and recent nearby sales. The lender uses it to judge whether your offer is acceptable. Honest contractor bids and photos of real defects help the BPO reflect the house as it actually is.

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